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Home / Props / NBA props / Thunder at Cavaliers

NBA player props · Mon Nov 2

Thunder vs Cavaliers player props tonight

OKC @ CLE · Mon 7:10 PM ET · updated 8:56 AM

Free stats for Oklahoma City Thunder at Cleveland Cavaliers: how each player has done against tonight's line, matchups, injuries and FanDuel odds. No sign-up needed.

Model picks, not promises. Lines move, so check the app. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER

Model picks

Free model leans: our number beats the FanDuel price, a second source agrees, and the player is active.

OKC G · Thunder at Cavaliers · 7:10 PM ET Active
1/6over

Over 1.5 Made Threes · FanDuel +126

1.50@ SA0vs DEN0vs LAC1vs PHX1@ DAL3@ HOUold→

Last 6 games · over 1.5 in 1 of 6 · average 0.8

  • Our model gives it a 47% chance; the FanDuel price implies 44%. (model 47.3% vs 44.2% implied)
  • A second projection site has him at 1.7.
OKC G · Thunder at Cavaliers · 7:10 PM ET Active
2/6over

Over 4.5 Rebounds · FanDuel -114

4.52@ SA1vs DEN1vs LAC7vs PHX3@ DAL7@ HOUold→

Last 6 games · over 4.5 in 2 of 6 · average 3.5

  • Our model gives it a 56% chance; the FanDuel price implies 53%. (model 55.7% vs 53.3% implied)
  • A second projection site has him at 5.6.

Top trends

Players who keep landing on one side of tonight's line. Swipe for more. Trends, not picks; questionable players left out.

Evan Mobley

5/6 over 16.5 points

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

4/6 under 29.5 points

Donovan Mitchell

4/6 under 22.5 points

James Harden

4/6 under 18.5 points

Jared McCain

4/6 under 14.5 points

Ajay Mitchell

3/6 over 17.5 points

FanDuel lines & recent form

The main player lines and how each player did against that number lately. Odds as FanDuel shows them; the small % is the chance the price implies.

over the lineunder- - - tonight's linering = games over the line, last 10
OKC guard Active

Points 29.5

2/6over
Over -10451%Under -12856%
29.532@ SA17vs DEN34vs LAC26vs PHX21@ DAL26@ HOUold→

Last 6 games · over 29.5 in 2 of 6 · average 26.0

CLE guard Active

Points 22.5

2/6over
Over -11854%Under -11253%
22.532@ PHI22vs BKN26vs MIN19vs WSH22@ ATL15@ MILold→

Last 6 games · over 22.5 in 2 of 6 · average 22.7

CLE guard Active

Points 18.5

2/6over
Over +10250%Under -13658%
18.516@ PHI12vs BKN19vs MIN16vs WSH24@ ATL13@ MILold→

Last 6 games · over 18.5 in 2 of 6 · average 16.7

OKC guard Active

Points 17.5

3/6over
Over -13658%Under +10250%
17.54@ SA12vs DEN18vs LAC30vs PHX29@ DAL6@ HOUold→

Last 6 games · over 17.5 in 3 of 6 · average 16.5

CLE center Active

Points 16.5

5/6over
Over -11453%Under -11453%
16.518@ PHI20vs BKN18vs MIN24vs WSH11@ ATL27@ MILold→

Last 6 games · over 16.5 in 5 of 6 · average 19.7

OKC guard Active

Points 14.5

2/6over
Over -10852%Under -12255%
14.520@ SA4vs DEN3vs LAC18vs PHX10@ DAL10@ HOUold→

Last 6 games · over 14.5 in 2 of 6 · average 10.8

FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan), captured Mon Nov 2, 8:56 AM ET. Lines move. Past results, not a prediction.

Matchups

How easy each defense is on each position this season. Left = soft (gives up the most), right = tough. (Defense vs position, DvP)

Cavaliers defense vs Thunder players

Guards: pointsAverage matchup
Soft19th of 30 · 55.2 allowed/gameTough
Forwards: pointsAverage matchup
Soft17th of 30 · 43 allowed/gameTough
Centers: pointsSoft matchup
Soft7th of 30 · 17.8 allowed/gameTough

Thunder defense vs Cavaliers players

Guards: pointsTough matchup
Soft27th of 30 · 48.3 allowed/gameTough
Forwards: pointsSoft matchup
Soft6th of 30 · 47.5 allowed/gameTough
Centers: pointsTough matchup
Soft23rd of 30 · 11.2 allowed/gameTough

Full rankings: Oklahoma City Thunder · Cleveland Cavaliers · all NBA teams. Early-season samples are small.

Team vs team

Side by side: record, scoring, defense and recent form.

Records and averages from 6 and 6 games this regular season. Brighter bar = the better side. Past results, not a prediction.

Injuries

Red = out, yellow = questionable (never a top pick), green = expected to play.

  • Peyton Watson CLE G QuestionableRight Hamstring Tightness / Soreness · not used in our picks until confirmed active
  • Alex Caruso OKC G OutRight Ankle Sprain
  • Cason Wallace OKC G OutLeft Shoulder/ Surgery
  • Chet Holmgren OKC C OutRight Knee/ Injury Recovery
  • Jalen Williams OKC G OutLeft Ankle/ Surgery
  • Jaylon Tyson CLE G OutRight Ankle Sprain

Status updated 8:56 AM ET from the official NBA injury report and ESPN. Out and doubtful players are left out of picks and lines.

More stats

Tap a row to open it.

Pace & scoring contextmatchup avg 225.2 combined pts

Points per game this season (regular season). The matchup average blends each offense with the other team's defense: 225.2 combined points.

OKC scores106.5OKC allows107CLE scores121CLE allows116
OKC: combined pts, last 6dashed = matchup avg
220180209239216217
CLE: combined pts, last 6dashed = matchup avg
220246252232225247
above the matchup avgbelowoldest → newest

Matchups by position: Thunder defense vs position · Cavaliers defense vs position

Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores, updated once a day. Not a betting line. Past results, not a prediction.

Quarter by quarterevery-quarter scorers in this game

Players in this game who most often score 3+ points in every quarter, from their last 10 games.

PlayerRecent: 3+ every QThis seasonMin floor (recent)
Donovan Mitchell CLE G3/63/624
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander OKC G2/62/628
Ajay Mitchell OKC G2/62/623
Evan Mobley CLE C1/61/625
Jarrett Allen CLE C1/61/624
Jared McCain OKC G1/61/618

100+ points through 3 quarters, recent games this season (up to 10): OKC 0/6 (avg 82.5) · CLE 1/6 (avg 92.5).

Past results, not a prediction.

Full list for tonight: Every-Quarter Scorers →

First basketThe NBA told partner sportsbooks on Oct 16, 2026 to stop offering first-basket and opening-tip bets, so we no longer show first-basket prices. NBA first-basket rule change →

If a key player sitsJalen Williams (Out), Chet Holmgren (Out)

Teammates whose numbers rose most in games these players missed (points + rebounds + assists per game, without vs with).

If outPlayerG w/oPRA w/oChangeMIN change
Jalen WilliamsJared McCain2216+6.9+4.6
Jalen WilliamsKenrich Williams2712.9+4.4+6.6
Jalen WilliamsAjay Mitchell1322.4+3.8+1.4
Chet HolmgrenJaylin Williams1222.8+9.9+8.7
Chet HolmgrenKenrich Williams1017.1+8+8.1
Chet HolmgrenAjay Mitchell1126.5+6.9+2.7

How we count it: same-team regular-season games, 2025-26 and this season, 3+ games without the player. Past results, not a prediction.

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