SLIP SURGEON

Welcome in from FacebookInstagram

Start here. It’s free, no sign-up needed.

Tip: tap ⋯ and Open in Safaribrowser to save us to your home screen.

Home / Props / NBA props / Trail Blazers at Nuggets

NBA player props · Mon Nov 2

Trail Blazers vs Nuggets player props tonight

POR @ DEN · Mon 9:10 PM ET · updated 8:56 AM

Free stats for Portland Trail Blazers at Denver Nuggets: how each player has done against tonight's line, matchups, injuries and FanDuel odds. No sign-up needed.

Model picks, not promises. Lines move, so check the app. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER

Model picks

Free model leans: our number beats the FanDuel price, a second source agrees, and the player is active.

DEN C · Trail Blazers at Nuggets · 9:10 PM ET Active
4/5over

Under 9.5 Assists · FanDuel +104

9.55@ OKC10vs NO11vs GS10@ NO10@ PHXold→

Last 5 games · over 9.5 in 4 of 5 · average 9.2

  • Our model gives it a 52% chance; the FanDuel price implies 49%. (model 51.8% vs 49.0% implied)
  • A second projection site has him at 8.7.
  • He is averaging 9.2 over his last 5 games.
  • POR allows the 30th-most assists to centers.
POR C · Trail Blazers at Nuggets · 9:10 PM ET Active
0/5over

Under 10.5 Rebounds · FanDuel -122

10.57vs PHX10@ SAC10@ LAL8vs MEM9@ UTAHold→

Last 5 games · over 10.5 in 0 of 5 · average 8.8

  • Our model gives it a 57% chance; the FanDuel price implies 55%. (model 57.4% vs 54.9% implied)
  • A second projection site has him at 8.8.
  • He is averaging 8.8 over his last 5 games.
  • DEN allows the 2nd-most rebounds to centers.

Top trends

Players who keep landing on one side of tonight's line. Swipe for more. Trends, not picks; questionable players left out.

Deni Avdija

4/5 over 22.5 points

Nikola Jokic

4/5 under 25.5 points

Jamal Murray

3/5 over 22.5 points

Damian Lillard

3/5 over 20.5 points

Aaron Gordon

3/5 over 14.5 points

Scoot Henderson

3/5 under 13.5 points

FanDuel lines & recent form

The main player lines and how each player did against that number lately. Odds as FanDuel shows them; the small % is the chance the price implies.

over the lineunder- - - tonight's linering = games over the line, last 10
DEN center Active

Points 25.5

1/5over
Over -10651%Under -12556%
25.513@ OKC35vs NO19vs GS21@ NO18@ PHXold→

Last 5 games · over 25.5 in 1 of 5 · average 21.2

DEN guard Active

Points 22.5

3/5over
Over -12255%Under -10852%
22.56@ OKC42vs NO19vs GS23@ NO39@ PHXold→

Last 5 games · over 22.5 in 3 of 5 · average 25.8

POR forward Active

Points 22.5

4/5over
Over -11854%Under -11253%
22.518vs PHX26@ SAC23@ LAL24vs MEM24@ UTAHold→

Last 5 games · over 22.5 in 4 of 5 · average 23.0

POR guard Active

Points 20.5

3/5over
Over -12556%Under -10651%
20.525vs PHX19@ SAC21@ LAL9vs MEM22@ UTAHold→

Last 5 games · over 20.5 in 3 of 5 · average 19.2

DEN forward Active

Points 14.5

3/5over
Over -10852%Under -12255%
14.520@ OKC7vs NO7vs GS15@ NO15@ PHXold→

Last 5 games · over 14.5 in 3 of 5 · average 12.8

POR guard Active

Points 13.5

2/5over
Over -12556%Under -10651%
13.515vs PHX4@ SAC2@ LAL9vs MEM14@ UTAHold→

Last 5 games · over 13.5 in 2 of 5 · average 8.8

FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan), captured Mon Nov 2, 8:56 AM ET. Lines move. Past results, not a prediction.

Matchups

How easy each defense is on each position this season. Left = soft (gives up the most), right = tough. (Defense vs position, DvP)

Nuggets defense vs Trail Blazers players

Guards: pointsSoft matchup
Soft9th of 30 · 58.6 allowed/gameTough
Forwards: pointsTough matchup
Soft24th of 30 · 40.6 allowed/gameTough
Centers: pointsSoft matchup
Soft10th of 30 · 16 allowed/gameTough

Trail Blazers defense vs Nuggets players

Guards: pointsTough matchup
Soft23rd of 30 · 51 allowed/gameTough
Forwards: pointsAverage matchup
Soft14th of 30 · 43.4 allowed/gameTough
Centers: pointsAverage matchup
Soft13th of 30 · 14.8 allowed/gameTough

Softest spots in this game

  • DEN allows the 2nd-most rebounds to centers (13.8 a game, +43% vs average, 5-game sample). Player in this spot: Donovan Clingan, averaging 8.8, FanDuel line 10.5.

Full rankings: Portland Trail Blazers · Denver Nuggets · all NBA teams. Early-season samples are small.

Team vs team

Side by side: record, scoring, defense and recent form.

Records and averages from 5 and 5 games this regular season. Brighter bar = the better side. Past results, not a prediction.

Injuries

Red = out, yellow = questionable (never a top pick), green = expected to play.

  • Alpha Diallo DEN F QuestionableRight Wrist Sprain · not used in our picks until confirmed active
  • Ja Morant POR G OutLeft Hamstring Strain
  • Jayson Kent POR G OutG League - Two-Way
  • John Tonje POR F OutG League - Two-Way

Status updated 8:56 AM ET from the official NBA injury report and ESPN. Out and doubtful players are left out of picks and lines.

More stats

Tap a row to open it.

Pace & scoring contextmatchup avg 229.5 combined pts

Points per game this season (regular season). The matchup average blends each offense with the other team's defense: 229.5 combined points.

POR scores120.6POR allows109.2DEN scores114DEN allows115.2
POR: combined pts, last 5dashed = matchup avg
207248265227202
DEN: combined pts, last 5dashed = matchup avg
180276248195247
above the matchup avgbelowoldest → newest

Matchups by position: Trail Blazers defense vs position · Nuggets defense vs position

Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores, updated once a day. Not a betting line. Past results, not a prediction.

Quarter by quarterevery-quarter scorers in this game

Players in this game who most often score 3+ points in every quarter, from their last 10 games.

PlayerRecent: 3+ every QThis seasonMin floor (recent)
Christian Braun DEN G2/52/533
Damian Lillard POR G2/52/524
Jamal Murray DEN G1/51/536
Nikola Jokic DEN C1/51/534
Deni Avdija POR F1/51/523
Jrue Holiday POR G1/51/521

100+ points through 3 quarters, recent games this season (up to 10): POR 3/5 (avg 96.6) · DEN 1/5 (avg 83.8).

Past results, not a prediction.

Full list for tonight: Every-Quarter Scorers →

First basketThe NBA told partner sportsbooks on Oct 16, 2026 to stop offering first-basket and opening-tip bets, so we no longer show first-basket prices. NBA first-basket rule change →

Build or check your slip

Paste or upload any slip into Slip Surgery for a free second opinion with FanDuel and BetMGM links.

Built a parlay from this page? Run it through the free bet slip checker or price it with the parlay odds calculator.