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Home / Props / NBA props / Players / Luka Doncic

NBA player props · today

Luka Doncic player props

LAL vs MIA · Mon 10:10 PM ET · Active · updated 8:56 AM

New here? Start freeNeed help?Model picks, not promises. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER

His numbers, in charts

Every chart uses his real game logs. Past results, not a prediction.

over the lineunder- - - tonight's line

Points

Tonight's FanDuel line 33.5 · Over -120 / Under -110

4/6over
33.5Oct 21 vs GS: 28 pts · under28GSOct 23 vs LAC: 23 pts · under23LACOct 25 at UTAH: 52 pts · over52@UTAHOct 27 vs POR: 41 pts · over41POROct 30 at GS: 37 pts · over37@GSNov 1 vs TOR: 45 pts · over45TOR

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Last 6 games · over 33.5 in 4 of 6 · average 37.7

How often he hits common marks (last 6)

6/610+ pts
6/615+ pts
6/620+ pts
5/625+ pts
4/630+ pts

Averages (games played)

Dashed mark = tonight's line 33.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.

Rebounds

Tonight's FanDuel line 7.5 · Over +116 / Under -154

3/6over
7.5Oct 21 vs GS: 8 reb · over8GSOct 23 vs LAC: 6 reb · under6LACOct 25 at UTAH: 8 reb · over8@UTAHOct 27 vs POR: 5 reb · under5POROct 30 at GS: 7 reb · under7@GSNov 1 vs TOR: 15 reb · over15TOR

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Last 6 games · over 7.5 in 3 of 6 · average 8.2

How often he hits common marks (last 6)

6/64+ reb
5/66+ reb
3/68+ reb
1/610+ reb
1/612+ reb

Averages (games played)

Dashed mark = tonight's line 7.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.

Assists

Tonight's FanDuel line 7.5 · Over -112 / Under -118

2/6over
7.5Oct 21 vs GS: 7 ast · under7GSOct 23 vs LAC: 7 ast · under7LACOct 25 at UTAH: 10 ast · over10@UTAHOct 27 vs POR: 9 ast · over9POROct 30 at GS: 5 ast · under5@GSNov 1 vs TOR: 6 ast · under6TOR

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Last 6 games · over 7.5 in 2 of 6 · average 7.3

How often he hits common marks (last 6)

6/62+ ast
6/64+ ast
5/66+ ast
2/68+ ast
1/610+ ast

Averages (games played)

Dashed mark = tonight's line 7.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.

Made Threes

Tonight's FanDuel line 4.5 · Over -102 / Under -130

5/6over
4.5Oct 21 vs GS: 5 threes · over5GSOct 23 vs LAC: 2 threes · under2LACOct 25 at UTAH: 8 threes · over8@UTAHOct 27 vs POR: 6 threes · over6POROct 30 at GS: 6 threes · over6@GSNov 1 vs TOR: 8 threes · over8TOR

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Last 6 games · over 4.5 in 5 of 6 · average 5.8

How often he hits common marks (last 6)

6/61+ threes
6/62+ threes
5/63+ threes
5/64+ threes

Averages (games played)

Dashed mark = tonight's line 4.5. Teal = average above it, red = below. Home/away use this season.

Minutes trend (last 6)

303738373735

Oldest → newest. Dashed = this season average 35.7 min. More minutes usually means more chances.

Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores, updated once a day. "Over" means he beat the line; 24.5 needs 25+.

Free stats for Luka Doncic (Los Angeles Lakers G): his FanDuel lines, how he did against them lately, and how Miami Heat defend his position.

FanDuel lines

PropLineOverUnderImplied (over)DvP vs MIA
Points33.5-120-11054.5%3rd of 30
Rebounds7.5+116-15446.3%3rd of 30
Assists7.5-112-11852.8%9th of 30
Made Threes4.5-102-13050.5%2nd of 30
Pts + Reb + Ast48.5-122-10854.9%-
Pts + Reb41.5-110-12052.4%-
Pts + Ast41.5-114-11453.3%-
Reb + Ast14.5-130-10256.5%-

FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan) prices, captured at build time; implied % includes the book's margin. DvP rank 1 = the defense that allows the most of that stat to his position this season.

4 straight over 33.5 pts35+ pts in 4 straight

Model read

No strong pick on his lines right now. That's not a lean either way. See the Hunter for every leg that did.

Miami Heat defense vs guards

PointsSoft matchup
Soft3rd of 30 · 66.8 allowed/gameTough
ReboundsSoft matchup
Soft3rd of 30 · 18.8 allowed/gameTough
AssistsSoft matchup
Soft9th of 30 · 16.7 allowed/gameTough
Made ThreesSoft matchup
Soft2nd of 30 · 10 allowed/gameTough

Full breakdown: Miami Heat defense vs position.

Game log & hit rateslast 6: 37.7 pts · 35.7 min

How often Luka Doncic went over each FanDuel line he has tonight. Splits use this season; "vs MIA" covers every game against them this season (regular season only).

LineL5L10SznHomevs MIA
PTS 33.54/54/64/62/4-
REB 7.52/53/63/62/4-
AST 7.52/52/62/61/4-
3PM 4.54/55/65/63/4-
PRA 48.54/54/64/62/4-
P+R 41.54/54/64/62/4-
P+A 41.54/54/64/62/4-
R+A 14.52/53/63/62/4-
Rebounds vs 7.53 of 6 over
7.58vs GS6vs LAC8@ UTAH5vs POR7@ GS15vs TORold→
Assists vs 7.52 of 6 over
7.57vs GS7vs LAC10@ UTAH9vs POR5@ GS6vs TORold→
Made Threes vs 4.55 of 6 over
4.55vs GS2vs LAC8@ UTAH6vs POR6@ GS8vs TORold→
over the lineunder- - - FanDuel lineoldest → newest
Minutes, last 6dashed = this season avg 35.7
303738373735

Last 6 games

DateOppMINPTSREBAST3PMPRA
11/1vs TOR3545156866
10/30@ GS373775649
10/27vs POR374159655
10/25@ UTAH3852810870
10/23vs LAC372367236
10/21vs GS302887543
This season averagesGMINPTSREBAST3PM
All games635.737.78.27.35.8
Home434.834.28.57.25.2
Away237.544.57.57.57.0

Computed by Slip Surgeon from public NBA box scores and play-by-play (regular season, games through 2026-11-01), updated once a day. "Over" means he beat the line; a line of 19.5 needs 20+. Past results, not a prediction. Model picks, not promises.

Quarter by quarter3+ every Q: 3/6 last 6

How often Luka Doncic scored in every quarter (Q1 to Q4, overtime not counted). A quarter he sat out counts as a miss.

Avg points by quarter, 2026-27 seasonQ1 → Q4
14.87.8105
Minutes per quarter, 2026-27 season (6 g)35.7 of 48
Q1 12Q2 6.2Q3 11.9Q4 5.6
MinutesQ1Q2Q3Q4
Avg126.211.95.6
League rank1/307158/3071/307156/307

In blowouts (18+ either way after 3 quarters, 2 g) he averaged 2.8 Q4 minutes vs 7.3 in close games. Low 4th-quarter minutes: a risk for every-quarter legs. How we count it: minutes rebuilt from ESPN's substitution log and checked against the box score (games that don't match within 1.5 min are left out); rank is among 307 rotation players (12+ min a game).

SpanGames1+ every Q3+ every Q5+ every Q
2026-27 season683% (5)50% (3)50% (3)
Last 6 games683% (5)50% (3)50% (3)
2025-26 season6470% (45)53% (34)28% (18)
Avg pointsQ1Q2Q3Q4Min floor
2026-27 season14.87.810.05.030
Last 6 games14.87.810.05.030
2025-26 season12.07.29.74.616

Min floor = his fewest minutes in that span. Computed by Slip Surgeon from ESPN's public NBA play-by-play (regular season, games through 2026-11-01); every game is checked against the box score. Past results, not a prediction.

Full list for tonight: Every-Quarter Scorers →

Whole game: Heat vs Lakers player props. All players: NBA player props.

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