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Derrick Henry prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: BAL vs JAX
Thu 8:16 PM ET · Spread +8.5 · Total 43.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Mon Nov 2, 8:56 AM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L8 | Season | Median L5 / L8 | Opp vs RB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rushing Yds · O/U 75.5 | O/U 75.5 | -114 | -114 | 1/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 58 / 70.5 line above median | 32nd most allowed |
| Receiving Yds · O/U 8.5 | O/U 8.5 | -114 | -114 | 1/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 6 / 6.5 line above median | 10th most allowed |
| Receptions · O/U 1.5 | O/U 1.5 | -130 | -102 | 2/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 1 / 1 line above median | 8th most allowed |
| Rush + Rec Yds · O/U 88.5 | O/U 88.5 | -114 | -114 | 1/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 60 / 83 line above median | - |
Floor lines tonight cleared 80%+ of last 8
| Line | FanDuel | L8 | L5 | Median L8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ Receptions | -550 | 8/8 | 5/5 | 1 |
| 40+ Rushing Yds | -1100 | 8/8 | 5/5 | 70.5 |
| 50+ Rushing Yds | -470 | 7/8 | 4/5 | 70.5 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not promises. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Derrick Henry cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season (this season only). "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). He has played 8 games this season, so the columns show the real count (L5 / L8), this season only.
Rushing Yds
Last 8 avg 79.0 · median 70.5
| Line | L5 | L8 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ | 5/5 | 8/8 | 8/8 |
| 50+ | 4/5 | 7/8 | 7/8 |
| 60+ | 2/5 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| 75+ | 1/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
| 100+ | 1/5 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Rush Attempts
Last 8 avg 19.8 · median 20
| Line | L5 | L8 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10+ | 5/5 | 8/8 | 8/8 |
| 12+ | 4/5 | 7/8 | 7/8 |
| 15+ | 4/5 | 7/8 | 7/8 |
| 18+ | 2/5 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
| 20+ | 2/5 | 4/8 | 4/8 |
Receptions
Last 8 avg 1.5 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L8 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ | 2/5 | 3/8 | 3/8 |
| 3+ | 0/5 | 1/8 | 1/8 |
Receiving Yds
Last 8 avg 9.4 · median 6.5
| Line | L5 | L8 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 0/5 | 0/8 | 0/8 |
Rush + Rec Yds
Last 8 avg 88.4 · median 83
| Line | L5 | L8 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ | 5/5 | 8/8 | 8/8 |
| 50+ | 4/5 | 7/8 | 7/8 |
| 60+ | 4/5 | 7/8 | 7/8 |
| 75+ | 2/5 | 5/8 | 5/8 |
| 100+ | 1/5 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Anytime TD
Last 8 avg 1.1 · median 1
| Line | L5 | L8 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 3/5 | 6/8 | 6/8 |
| 2+ | 0/5 | 2/8 | 2/8 |
Snap share trend
Last 8 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Derrick Henry game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | Car | Rush Yd | Rec | Rec Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ BUF | 45 | 11 | 53 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 7 | vs CIN | 51 | 17 | 45 | 1 | 4 | 0 |
| 6 | @ CLE | 58 | 17 | 58 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 5 | @ ATL | 55 | 24 | 102 | 1 | 18 | 1 |
| 4 | vs TEN | 62 | 23 | 73 | 2 | 6 | 1 |
| 3 | @ DAL | 67 | 26 | 89 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| 2 | vs NO | 53 | 16 | 68 | 3 | 19 | 1 |
| 1 | @ IND | 54 | 24 | 144 | 1 | 19 | 3 |
Quick answers
What has Derrick Henry averaged in rushing yds over his last 8 games?
79.0 rushing yds per game over his last 8 games (median 70.5), through Nov 2, 2026.
How often does Derrick Henry get 75+ rushing yds?
3 of his last 8 games and 3 of 8 games this season.
How often does Derrick Henry get 2+ receptions?
3 of his last 8 games and 3 of 8 games this season.
Is Derrick Henry playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:56 AM ET. Check again close to game time.
Derrick Henry FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not promises. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.