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Patrick Mahomes prop stats & hit rates
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Patrick Mahomes cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season (this season only). "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). He has played 7 games this season, so the columns show the real count (L5 / L7), this season only.
Passing Yds
Last 7 avg 256.4 · median 246
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 200+ | 4/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 225+ | 4/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 250+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 275+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
| 300+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Passing TDs
Last 7 avg 1.7 · median 2
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 3/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 2+ | 3/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 3+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Pass Completions
Last 7 avg 22.0 · median 20
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15+ | 5/5 | 7/7 | 7/7 |
| 18+ | 4/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 20+ | 3/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 22+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 25+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Pass Attempts
Last 7 avg 33.1 · median 30
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 30+ | 4/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 35+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
| 40+ | 1/5 | 2/7 | 2/7 |
Rushing Yds
Last 7 avg 11.0 · median 14
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 0/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Anytime TD
Last 7 avg 0.1 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 0/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Snap share trend
Last 7 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Patrick Mahomes game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | C/A | Pass Yd | Pass TD | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ DEN | 100 | 30/41 | 321 | 3 | 6 | 0 |
| 7 | @ SEA | 100 | 19/33 | 165 | 0 | 14 | 0 |
| 6 | vs LAC | 100 | 23/30 | 272 | 0 | 16 | 0 |
| 4 | @ LV | 100 | 15/30 | 225 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | @ MIA | 100 | 20/24 | 246 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| 2 | vs IND | 100 | 32/47 | 382 | 3 | 17 | 0 |
| 1 | vs DEN | 100 | 15/27 | 184 | 2 | 23 | 1 |
Quick answers
What has Patrick Mahomes averaged in passing yds over his last 7 games?
256.4 passing yds per game over his last 7 games (median 246), through Nov 2, 2026.
How often does Patrick Mahomes get 250+ passing yds?
3 of his last 7 games and 3 of 7 games this season.
How often does Patrick Mahomes get 20+ rushing yds?
1 of his last 7 games and 1 of 7 games this season.
Is Patrick Mahomes playing tonight?
Listed Active as of 8:56 AM ET. Check again close to game time.
Patrick Mahomes FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not promises. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.