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Zay Flowers prop stats & hit rates
Tonight: BAL vs JAX
Thu 8:16 PM ET · Spread +8.5 · Total 43.5 · FanDuel lines at build time (Mon Nov 2, 8:56 AM ET), lines move, check the app.
| Prop | Line | Over | Under | L5 | L7 | Season | Median L5 / L7 | Opp vs WR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Receiving Yds · O/U 45.5 | O/U 45.5 | -114 | -114 | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 | 66 / 84 | 1st most allowed |
| Receptions · O/U 4.5 | O/U 4.5 | +120 | -160 | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 | 8 / 6 | 4th most allowed |
Floor lines tonight cleared 80%+ of last 7
| Line | FanDuel | L7 | L5 | Median L7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5+ Receptions | +120 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 6 |
| 50+ Receiving Yds | +106 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 84 |
| 40+ Receiving Yds | -158 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 84 |
| 4+ Receptions | -180 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 6 |
| 30+ Receiving Yds | -300 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 84 |
| 25+ Receiving Yds | -420 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 84 |
| 3+ Receptions | -450 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 6 |
| 20+ Receiving Yds | -670 | 6/7 | 4/5 | 84 |
Hit rates are history, not a promise. Model picks, not promises. 21+ | 1-800-GAMBLER
Hit rates on common NFL prop lines
How often Zay Flowers cleared each line in his last 5 games, last 10 games and this season (this season only). "20+" means 20 or more (the same as Over 19.5). He has played 7 games this season, so the columns show the real count (L5 / L7), this season only.
Receptions
Last 7 avg 5.7 · median 6
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 5+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 6+ | 4/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 7+ | 3/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
| 8+ | 3/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Receiving Yds
Last 7 avg 86.9 · median 84
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 40+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 50+ | 4/5 | 6/7 | 6/7 |
| 60+ | 3/5 | 5/7 | 5/7 |
| 75+ | 2/5 | 4/7 | 4/7 |
| 100+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Anytime TD
Last 7 avg 0.4 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1+ | 2/5 | 3/7 | 3/7 |
Rushing Yds
Last 7 avg 4.9 · median 0
| Line | L5 | L7 | 2026 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20+ | 0/5 | 1/7 | 1/7 |
Snap share trend
Last 7 games, oldest to newest. A drop here is the first sign a line is getting harder to clear.
Zay Flowers game log
| Wk | Opp | Snap | Tgt | Rec | Rec Yd | Rush Yd | TD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | @ BUF | 82 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | vs CIN | 85 | 11 | 8 | 137 | 0 | 1 |
| 6 | @ CLE | 88 | 11 | 6 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 5 | @ ATL | 82 | 9 | 8 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 4 | vs TEN | 73 | 10 | 8 | 118 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | @ DAL | 33 | 6 | 5 | 84 | 20 | 0 |
| 1 | @ IND | 29 | 6 | 5 | 150 | 0 | 1 |
Quick answers
What has Zay Flowers averaged in receptions over his last 7 games?
5.7 receptions per game over his last 7 games (median 6), through Nov 2, 2026.
How often does Zay Flowers get 6+ receptions?
4 of his last 7 games and 4 of 7 games this season.
How often does Zay Flowers get 75+ receiving yds?
4 of his last 7 games and 4 of 7 games this season.
Is Zay Flowers playing tonight?
Listed Active (possible rest) as of 8:56 AM ET. Check again close to game time.
Zay Flowers FanDuel props · All NFL player stats · Floor-line board · Defense vs position
Sources: nflverse-data releases (CC-BY 4.0): weekly player stats, snap counts (via Pro-Football-Reference), schedules; injury status from the official NBA report and ESPN; tonight's lines from FanDuel Sportsbook (Michigan). Model picks, not promises. Hit rates describe past games only. 21+ | Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.